Despite ongoing Russian missile and drone attacks, Ukraine’s economy grew by 5.3% last year. This growth was attributed to the country’s resumption of agricultural exports and domestic businesses adapting to new demands. In the last quarter of 2023, the economy expanded by 4.7%, marking a third consecutive quarter of growth. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has noted the remarkable resilience of the Ukrainian economy in 2023 but warned of challenges in 2024, including uncertainty surrounding the ongoing war, increasing supply constraints, demands from Poland to block some of its food sales into the European Union, delays in foreign aid, and a labor shortage that is impacting employers.
To address these challenges and continue its economic recovery, Ukraine is eagerly awaiting economic data such as gross domestic product (GDP) to overhaul its debt before a two-year standstill expires later this year. The government’s payments on securities linked to economic growth, known as GDP warrants, will also be determined by this data. These warrants are currently trading at a high level, above 56 cents on the dollar. Despite these obstacles ahead, Ukraine’s economy has shown resilience and growth in the face of adversity and continues to work towards addressing these challenges to sustain its economic recovery.